Jack Draper takes on Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinal of the 2025 ATP Madrid Masters which will be played on Friday, May 2. Get all the Jack Draper v Lorenzo Musetti predictions, betting tips and odds for this encounter in the section below.
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Jack Draper v Lorenzo Musetti Head to Head
Draper leads their head-to-head 2-0, having defeated Musetti in Sofia in 2023 and again en route to the Vienna final in 2024, underscoring his recent supremacy over the Italian.
Draper v Musetti Preview
Draper’s game is built on left-handed firepower: an excellent first serve and a heavy, flat forehand that earn free points and rush rivals on quicker surfaces. His rise under coach James Trotman has sharpened that forehand, though clay’s higher bounce and slower rhythm still demand that he adapt his timing and court positioning.
In contrast, Musetti is tennis artistry personified.
His one-handed backhand can slice low or rip high, and his heavy topspin forehand and deft drop-shots flourish when the dirt kicks up under his footwork. His Monte-Carlo final run in April, where his variety unsettled even the tour’s best, is a warning sign for many an opponents in the times to come.
On clay, Draper’s résumé is still young. He reached the Round of 16 in Monte Carlo this spring—his best clay result—before falling in three tight sets, signalling that his developing movement holds promise.
Here he has already defeated Tallon Griekspoor, Matteo Berrettini, Tommy Paul and Matteo Arnaldi without dropping a set to make the semifinals.
Draper’s 2025 has been sensational: he made the Australian Open fourth round, lifted his first Masters-1000 trophy at Indian Wells, and climbed to world No. 6—becoming the first Brit ranked that high since Andy Murray.
Musetti’s 2025 campaign shone on clay: he defeated world-class opponents en route to his maiden Masters final in Monte Carlo, cracking the 11th rank in the process. That momentum carried into Madrid, where he stamped authority with straight-sets wins over Tomás Etcheverry, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Alex de Minaur and Gabriel Diallo.
Draper v Musetti Predictions
Tactically, Draper must dictate with serve-plus-one aggression, keeping points under five strokes. Musetti will seek to extend rallies, pulling Draper off the court with angles and then finishing with his drop-shot-lob combo. Fitness and first-serve consistency will be decisive under Madrid’s altitude conditions.
We expect the match to go to a third set.
Draper v Musetti Tips
- Three sets in the match: 6/5
