World number 11 Tommy Paul will take on the 57th-ranked Roberto Carballes Baena in the third round of the 2025 Australian Open. Get all the Tommy Paul v Roberto Carballes Baena predictions, betting tips and odds for this encounter in the section below.
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Tommy Paul v Roberto Carballes Baena Head to Head
Their only previous meeting came in the 2021 US Open where Carballes Baena stunned Paul in the first round.
Paul Overturns Solid Nishikori Start
Kei Nishikori was never going to make life easy for Tommy Paul when they faced off in the second round and that’s exactly how things started in their encounter.
There were two occasions in that set where Nishikori was up a break including one when he could have served out the set and while he missed both, the Japanese player grabbed the opening salvo in a tie-breaker.
From there on, however, Paul changed tack and as his presence on the court grew more and more, so did the errors from the Nishikori racquet.
In the end, it took Paul two hours and 44 minutes to storm into the third round, winning the final three sets in 97 minutes.
Paul had earlier needed five sets to get past Christopher O’Connell in the first round.
Carballes Baena Eases Past Duckworth
Having stunned Alejandro Tabilo in the first round, Roberto Carballes Baena had a slightly lesser challenging opponent in the form of James Duckworth in the second but with the home crowd behind him.
Which is why for Carballes Baena to walk away a winner in straight sets, clinching it 6-4, 6-2, 7-5 was such a performance to behold.
This was coming from someone who has never been ranked better than 49th in the world, and has never made the third round at the Australian Open before this.
In fact other than the 2020 edition of the French Open, Carballes Baena had never made the third round of a Grand Slam ever.
For one known more for his clay-court performances to dish out back to back wins like these would be a huge shot in his arm. Expect him to put up a fight here.
Paul v Carballes Baena Prediction
On paper, Paul is a huge favourite with bookmakers installing him at 1/7 to grab this. However, we think that Carballes Baena could well take a set off him here given his form and rhythm.
Paul v Carballes Baena Tips
- Over 3.5 sets in the match: 1/1
- Paul to win AND Both players to win a set: 6/4
