World number one Aryna Sabalenka will face the fifth-ranked Madison Keys in the semifinal of the 2025 WTA Indian Wells Open which will be played on Friday, March 14. Get all the Aryna Sabalenka v Madison Keys predictions, betting tips and odds for this encounter in the section below.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Madison Keys Head to Head
There have been six previous meetings between these two and Sabalenka leads 4-2.
The last of these matches came at the Australian Open final earlier this year and Keys had won it in three sets. Sabalenka is 3-1 on win-loss in hardcourt competitions.
Sabalenka Scythes Through Samsonova
Aryna Sabalenka continued her march towards her first ever title at the Indian Wells Open with a convincing win over Liudmilla Samsonova in their quarterfinal match.
In an encounter lasting an hour and 24 minutes, Sabalenka defeated her Russian opponent 6-2, 6-3 to reach the semifinals.
This was after Sabalenka had made a slow start, losing her serve in the very first game but then came back strongly to break Samsonova three times in a row to clinch the opening set.
Sabalenka, who hadn’t dropped a set in the tournament before this, then went 3-0 up in the second before dropping her serve for the second time and allowing Samsonova to make it 3-3.
A quick service break in the eighth game followed though and Sabalenka served it out to grab her 17th win of the season to go with three defeats.
One of those three defeats was against a player she had lost to earlier this season.
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Thumping Win for Keys over Bencic
It was a power-packed performance from Madison Keys that left the fans spellbound and her opponent Belinda Bencic stunned.
There were no real favourites coming into this quarterfinal with Keys having won the title at the Australian Open and Bencic in rollicking form that had seen her accumulate a 17-4 win-loss for the season.
And yet, by the time the match had ended, it had taken Keys just 65 minutes to breeze past Bencic 6-1, 6-1 and notched up her 16th victory in a row.
In reaching the semifinal here, Keys has now reached a stage she had never done before in Indian Wells and will now be aiming for her fourth WYA 1000 final as she takes on the world number one.
Sabalenka v Keys Predictions
While Sabalenka is 1/2 to win this, things could be a lot tougher and we think Keys has the potential to cause an upset by beating her opponent for the second time this season.
Sabalenka v Keys Tips
- Sets Handicap Keys +1.5: 11/20
