Francisco Cerundolo takes on Casper Ruud in an interesting semifinal of the 2025 ATP Madrid Masters which will be played on Friday, May 2. Get all the Francisco Cerundolo v Casper Ruud predictions, betting tips and odds for this encounter in the section below.
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Francisco Cerundolo v Casper Ruud Head to Head
Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerúndolo have met eight times on tour, with the Argentine edging the rivalry 5–3. Their most recent battle came on the clay of the Miami Open on March 25, 2025, where Cerúndolo dismissed Ruud 6–4, 6–2.
Though Ruud owns two of their four clay meetings, Cerúndolo’s ability to dictate with his heavy forehand and take the ball early has troubled the Norwegian in recent clashes.
Cerundolo v Ruud Preview
Ruud is the archetypal clay-court specialist: an offensive baseliner who thrives on heavy topspin and uses his forehand as a genuine weapon, complemented by a 190+ km/h serve that racks up free points.
In contrast, Cerúndolo’s game is built around an aggressive baseline repertoire, flattening his forehand to seize control and mixing in occasional drop shots. After a career-high in errors, he has significantly cut down on over-hitting and sharpened both his serve and return in 2025.
On clay, Ruud’s résumé is unmatched: 11 of his 12 ATP titles have come on dirt, and he has never lost a Masters 1000 quarter-final on clay (7-0 record).
Cerúndolo, meanwhile, has proven his credentials with a maiden title at the 2022 Swedish Open and back-to-back fourth-round finishes at Roland Garros in 2023 and 2024, though he has yet to convert deep runs into a clay-court crown beyond the ATP 250 level.
This season, Ruud sits at 7-2 on clay, and a 19-6 win-loss mark overall; he has yet to drop a set at this fortnight’s event. He has already defeated Sebastian Korda, Taylor Fritz and Daniil Medvedev in the competition.
Cerúndolo’s form is equally impressive: only six players boast more wins over the last 52 weeks, and his consistency has been off the charts since January, a testament to his improved shot-selection and service game.
He is also coming off a shock victory over Jakub Mensik, coming back from being a set down.
Cerundolo v Ruud Predictions
With contrasting strengths—Ruud’s supreme topspin and discipline against Cerúndolo’s flat, aggressive strikes—this quarter-final promises high-octane rallies on Madrid’s slick clay. Expect long, tactical exchanges punctuated by sudden shifts in momentum, where serve return ratios and break-point conversion could decide the outcome.
Cerundolo v Ruud Tips
- Cerundolo to win: 6/5
